{"id":1445,"date":"2019-11-28T08:48:00","date_gmt":"2019-11-28T03:03:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.meromauka.com\/news\/?p=1445"},"modified":"2019-11-28T08:48:03","modified_gmt":"2019-11-28T03:03:03","slug":"nepals-economic-growth-tapers-off-as-construction-slackens-and-remittances-slow-in-the-first-quarter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meromauka.com\/news\/nepals-economic-growth-tapers-off-as-construction-slackens-and-remittances-slow-in-the-first-quarter\/","title":{"rendered":"Nepal\u2019s economic growth tapers off as construction slackens and remittances slow in the first quarter"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Bikas Maharjan has been wondering what will happen to his business if the demand for bricks continues to fall. For years, he sold as many as 50,000 bricks a day, but in recent months, that number has fallen to 20,000 units.
<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cSince late summer, there\u2019s been a sharp decline in the demand for bricks from Kathmandu Valley,\u201d says Maharjan, who owns Hira Bricks, a brick manufacturing company.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A slump in the demand for bricks suggests that the construction sector is slowing down in the Valley, an assumption supported by a slowdown in housing loans in recent months. Construction is considered a key indicator of the health of the economy as it shows consumption patterns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to Nepal Rastra Bank, credit for residential construction increased by 4.1 percent during the first three months of the current fiscal year, compared to 8.7 percent during the same period last fiscal year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit growth in the non-residential sector grew a mere 0.3 percent compared to a 3.3 percent growth in the corresponding period a year earlier. Credit growth in financing highways and bridges also decreased to 7.7 percent from 12.8 percent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

There has also been sluggishness in the demand for iron, steel and cement, according to industrialists. Despite the country becoming more or less self-reliant on cement, the demand has not been growing as anticipated, they say.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThe demand for cement has remained stable,\u201d said Dhruba Thapa, president of the Cement Manufacturers\u2019 Association, an umbrella body of cement manufacturers. \u201cI see this as a seasonal effect of the construction slowdown, particularly during the monsoon. But the issues that concern us are the government\u2019s continued low capital spending and sluggish demand for cement in the domestic market despite almost zero imports.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

During the first three months of the current fiscal year, Nepal imported cement worth Rs199 million, a 13 percent decline over the same period last fiscal year. In the same quarter, imports of iron and steel decreased 22.5 percent to Rs34.24 billion compared to the same period a year ago, according to the Trade and Export Promotion Centre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cAs no new project has been initiated in the areas of iron, steel, and cement this year, lending in the sector has also not gone up as expected,\u201d said Gyanendra Dhungana, president of Nepal Bankers\u2019 Association, a group of banking chief executive officers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Industrialists and economists say the sluggish demand for construction materials and the tepid growth in lending suggest an overall slackness in the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cWe can say that the economy is not performing well at the moment,\u201d said Shekhar Golchha, senior vice-president of the Federation of Nepalese Chambers of Commerce and Industry, the apex private sector body. \u201cThe government\u2019s failure to spend the capital budget which creates demand for construction materials and a lack of adequate liquidity in the banking sector are creating hurdles in the investment decisions of the private sector.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to Golchha, government expenditure plays the role of a catalyst in spurring private sector investments. As of November 24, the government\u2019s capital expenditure stood at just 6.6 percent, according to the Financial Comptroller General Office, which keeps records of income and expenditure of the government.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Golchha said that the investment climate in Nepal has deteriorated despite the World Bank in its Doing Business Report<\/a> that said there has been an improvement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Experts say limited post-earthquake reconstruction activities this year, compared to the past two years, may have impacted the overall demand for construction materials this year. The National Reconstruction Authority said last week that 62 percent of quake-damaged houses have been rebuilt and 24 percent of them are under reconstruction. With the country witnessing a slowdown in construction activities, there has been a drop in demand for consumer items too, according to businessmen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Automobile dealers also say they are seeing a decrease in demand for vehicles, particularly due to the government\u2019s unfriendly policy towards vehicle imports. As per a central bank\u2019s directive, a person keen on purchasing a vehicle should first make a down payment of 50 percent to be eligible to get bank loans. In the past, a buyer could get loans up to 90 percent of the vehicle price. According to the central bank, the import of vehicles and their parts decreased by 18 percent during the first three months of this fiscal year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThe government\u2019s policy of discouraging vehicle imports and decreasing remittances from overseas have contributed to the decline in vehicle sales,\u201d said Sunil Rijal, general secretary of NADA Automobiles Association of Nepal, a grouping of vehicle importers. During the first three months, remittance inflows decreased by 4.9 percent to Rs230 billion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Economists say that if the remittance inflows continue to go down, it will have a major impact on the overall consumption in the country, which would hit the economy hard.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cIt is the main driver for economic activities in the country and the continuation of the decline in remittances could severely affect the growth prospects,\u201d said Shankar Sharma, former vice-chairman of the National Planning Commission.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Slowing demand, as well as the government\u2019s effort to control imports, has contributed to a less than expected growth in revenue collections. The government suffered a revenue shortfall of Rs70 billion, 28 percent below the target,<\/a> in the first quarter of the current fiscal year, according to the Finance Ministry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The federal government has set an economic growth target of 8.5 percent for the current fiscal year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cAnticipating that manufacturing and services sectors will pick up steam in the coming months, I think the country\u2019s economy will grow by around seven percent,\u201d the central bank official added.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The World Bank has already projected economic growth to slow down to 6.4 percent in the current fiscal year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThe ministry is studying the possibility of an increase in capital expenditure to spur the economy,\u201d said Yagya Dhugel, joint-secretary at the Finance Ministry. \u201cWe\u2019ve also asked the central bank to study the impact of decreasing imports and remittances.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bikas Maharjan has been wondering what will happen to his business if the demand for…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":1446,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,17,19],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1445","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business","category-nepal","category-news"],"yoast_head":"\nNepal\u2019s economic growth tapers off as construction slackens and remittances slow in the first quarter | Buy sell anything in Nepal<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.meromauka.com\/news\/nepals-economic-growth-tapers-off-as-construction-slackens-and-remittances-slow-in-the-first-quarter\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" 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